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  by Mark Walters

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  Real Estate Investors - Red Alert

How's the real estate marketing doing? Is the huge jump in home prices that is evident in some areas symptoms of a value bubble? Good questions, yes?

Two things to keep in mind when surveying the market:

1. All real estate is local,
2. Real estate is cyclical.

Here in Arizona some residential areas have seen as much as a 30% jump in value in the last 8 to 12 months. The word about increasing Arizona home values has spread across the country. We recently sold a home to an out of state buyer who never looked at the property. His agent is just buying homes, because the buyer is sure prices will continue to escalate.

In the case of another of our houses a buyer offered $2,000 above our asking price on the day we posted a for sale sign on the property. We were asking more than we expected to get!

At the same time we received a telephone call from a relative living in California. He was very excited because his brother-in-law was sure he would get rich by buying a couple of Arizona homes. Should her do the same, he asked?

Such events have all the earmarks of a price bubble... if only in Arizona. On the other hand...

On a recent trip to Buffalo, New York, the local newspaper ran a story explaining that home sales were up. In the same article it revealed that the median price of a home had dropped. In other words, people are hurrying to buy homes that are dropping value. There's more...

Mortgage Banker's Association data shows that
 
     
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